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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.87+2.63vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.97-1.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.62-2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.55-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
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2.21Western Washington University2.150.3%1st Place
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2.4University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
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2.79Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Stewart | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 26.7% | 33.7% |
| Patrick Taylor | 34.0% | 29.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 30.0% | 25.5% | 24.2% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 20.3% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 9.9% |
| John Elam | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.