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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.49+11.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+3.83vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+5.00vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+2.95vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.64+0.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+4.58vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.71-3.02vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-1.23vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.26+0.91vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-1.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.14vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-2.57vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-6.27vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.33-6.11vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-5.15vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.34-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44University of Pennsylvania1.775.0%1st Place
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13.94Roger Williams University0.491.5%1st Place
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6.83Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College1.846.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College1.877.4%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University2.6410.4%1st Place
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11.58George Washington University1.072.9%1st Place
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4.98Yale University2.7115.4%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.178.4%1st Place
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10.91College of Charleston1.263.7%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University1.864.2%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.9%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Naval Academy1.183.0%1st Place
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11.43North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University1.795.1%1st Place
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9.89Brown University1.333.5%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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10.68Tulane University1.344.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 30.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.