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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+7.74vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.10+4.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+3.47vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.32vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.94vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-3.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.60+7.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.65+2.23vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+3.44vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.34+3.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.93vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+1.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-2.96vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.85-2.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.10+1.06vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-5.26vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-6.75vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-3.78+0.35vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.81-8.41vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.97-4.11vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.68-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.83Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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19.61University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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17.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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18.3San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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18.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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15.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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16.06San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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21.06University of California at San Diego-3.100.0%1st Place
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15.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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23.35Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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15.59Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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20.89Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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20.07University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 25.1% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| samson grunwald | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 43.2% |
| William Bailly | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.