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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.34vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.34vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-2.34+13.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.05+11.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+8.09vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.65+6.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-1.58vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+7.17vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+5.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-3.44vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California-0.10-6.51vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.85+0.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.06vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.81-1.97vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-3.78+4.09vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.99-3.43vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-5.52vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-13.69vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-7.32vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.97-3.39vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley-1.14-12.07vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-4.29-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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6.01Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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10.34University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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18.08San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.2University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.08California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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15.06University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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18.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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16.22San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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16.94University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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16.03Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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23.09Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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16.57University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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20.61Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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24.35University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 26.0% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Summer Drake | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| William Bailly | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 31.3% | 27.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 6.8% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 19.2% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.