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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.26+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64+1.38vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.54+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-2.99vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.22San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 26.9% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 21.7% | 21.4% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 21.9% | 22.7% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 20.9% | 32.6% | 24.5% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 25.1% | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 20.8% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.