← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.15+0.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.26-0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.02vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-0.54+0.24vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
-
2.85University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
-
2.72University of Hawaii1.260.2%1st Place
-
2.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
-
5.24San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
5.34University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
5.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 21.4% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 23.1% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 24.5% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 22.2% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 22.5% | 30.3% | 22.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 29.3% | 25.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.8% | 24.0% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.