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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.26+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.97vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.54+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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2.87University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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5.24San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.33University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 21.4% | 24.0% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 25.7% | 23.6% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 22.6% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 21.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 21.3% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.5% | 30.1% | 22.6% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 22.5% | 28.9% | 25.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 24.6% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.