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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.26vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+0.92vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.80+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii-1.01-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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4.07University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.74University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.03San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 61.4% | 25.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.5% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.4% | 32.9% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 17.9% |
| Tegan Smith | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 25.4% | 21.5% |
| katherine shofran | 7.3% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.