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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+7.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+5.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.53vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+5.72vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.09+6.96vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+3.11vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.72-1.76vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01+3.86vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.57+1.05vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-3.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.22-0.96vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-5.98vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.10-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-4.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.428.7%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.7313.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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12.96University of Wisconsin1.092.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
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6.24Stanford University2.729.8%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
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13.86University of Texas1.011.4%1st Place
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12.05North Carolina State University1.572.7%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.025.7%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University1.222.9%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston2.496.9%1st Place
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9.08Jacksonville University2.105.3%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.3%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 19.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Matias Martin | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 25.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.