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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.99vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.26+4.28vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+4.77vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-0.46vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+2.30vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45+0.01vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65+2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-0.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.60-6.71vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-7.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.88vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Stanford University3.3027.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.047.5%1st Place
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7.99University of Pennsylvania1.725.7%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University2.3813.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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10.28North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University1.976.6%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University0.932.6%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.453.5%1st Place
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13.25Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island0.992.9%1st Place
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12.25University of Wisconsin0.701.5%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.8%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida1.604.2%1st Place
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8.07Jacksonville University-1.385.3%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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13.1University of Washington-1.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.0% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 13.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Grace Squires | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 19.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Emily Smith | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.