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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.27vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.80+1.09vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii-1.01-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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4.05University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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5.09San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 61.3% | 25.2% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.5% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.3% | 33.4% | 24.1% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 25.7% | 21.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 18.6% |
| katherine shofran | 7.3% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.