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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-1.01+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.13vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.80+0.04vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.74University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.13University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.04San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 60.6% | 26.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| katherine shofran | 7.6% | 13.2% | 21.2% | 21.5% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 16.8% | 34.1% | 23.3% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.8% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 6.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 25.4% | 21.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.7% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.