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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.060.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.26-1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.64+0.38vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.03vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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2.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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3.0University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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2.76University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.07San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 23.4% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 20.7% | 23.5% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 20.6% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Carew | 25.8% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 21.4% | 30.1% | 26.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 52.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 22.1% | 30.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.