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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.26+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-2.08vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.54-0.80vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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2.68University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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2.97University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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5.37University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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5.2San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 22.0% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 26.5% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 21.1% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 21.0% | 30.7% | 25.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 21.7% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 23.5% | 29.4% | 21.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.