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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.26+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15-1.10vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.07vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.54-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.19San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 26.8% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 21.0% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 19.8% | 21.5% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 23.3% | 19.8% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 54.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 24.2% | 28.5% | 21.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 34.5% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.