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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.26+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.64+0.37vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.54-0.79vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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3.02University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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5.37University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.21San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 26.6% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 22.2% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 20.7% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 21.5% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 21.2% | 31.3% | 25.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 23.1% | 28.8% | 21.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 24.0% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.