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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.26+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.31vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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2.79University of Hawaii1.260.3%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii1.150.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.6San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 22.8% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 25.2% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 19.8% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 40.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 20.5% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 17.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 15.1% |
| LeeAnn Burrows | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 25.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.