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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii-1.01+0.95vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.80+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.89vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.08San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 61.6% | 25.3% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 18.4% | 32.8% | 23.0% | 15.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| katherine shofran | 6.7% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 26.3% | 21.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.7% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 17.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.