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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii-1.01+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-1.24vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.80+0.06vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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4.05University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.76University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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5.06San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 59.1% | 28.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.4% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 21.6% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| katherine shofran | 7.0% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 18.8% | 29.8% | 23.8% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 25.7% | 21.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.