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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-1.01-0.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.13vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.80-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.93San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 60.7% | 25.5% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.7% | 33.2% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.5% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 7.6% |
| katherine shofran | 6.7% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.3% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 18.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 49.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 3.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 25.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.