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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.76vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.43vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+3.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.51vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+1.38vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65+6.19vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-1.40vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45+1.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-1.81vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-1.69vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-1.02vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.87vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-4.78vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Stanford University3.3025.9%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania1.726.1%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University2.3812.8%1st Place
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7.8Jacksonville University-1.385.6%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.976.1%1st Place
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13.19Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.048.1%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston1.453.2%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida1.605.1%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
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13.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.8%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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10.31North Carolina State University1.263.3%1st Place
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12.22University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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13.21University of Washington-1.391.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.9% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 20.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.