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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii-1.01+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.12vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.80-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.0San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 60.9% | 25.2% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 18.1% | 32.7% | 23.6% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| katherine shofran | 7.0% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.2% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| Tegan Smith | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 24.0% | 21.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.