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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-1.01+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+1.42vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.78vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.80-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-2.14-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Hawaii1.090.6%1st Place
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4.35University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.88University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.47San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 59.4% | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.1% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.0% | 28.2% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| katherine shofran | 7.1% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 38.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.