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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.42vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+3.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+4.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+4.56vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.07vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26+1.20vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-2.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-5.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.01vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-1.88vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-3.81vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.45-6.88vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.11-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University3.3025.3%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.3811.8%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.047.3%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy2.046.6%1st Place
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8.0University of Pennsylvania1.726.6%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University0.952.4%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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10.2North Carolina State University1.263.4%1st Place
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11.31George Washington University0.932.4%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida1.605.2%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.2%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University1.976.7%1st Place
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12.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.2%1st Place
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13.12Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston1.453.8%1st Place
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13.76University of Washington0.111.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.3% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 17.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
| Grace Squires | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.