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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+1.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12-0.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.75-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.65-1.47vs Predicted
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7Babson College-1.34-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.47Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.93Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.53University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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6.81Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 27.3% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 31.5% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 30.5% | 4.2% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 9.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 18.2% | 1.2% |
| James Altreuter | 18.9% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 22.5% | 33.2% | 3.3% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 90.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.