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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+4.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.42vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-0.53vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+5.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65+6.97vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+2.57vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45+0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.11+2.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.03vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-2.95vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-8.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-5.80vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Cornell University2.3812.8%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.048.3%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.047.0%1st Place
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3.47Stanford University3.3023.1%1st Place
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10.3North Carolina State University1.263.4%1st Place
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12.97Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University1.977.8%1st Place
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7.9University of Pennsylvania1.725.8%1st Place
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11.57Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston1.453.1%1st Place
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13.87University of Washington0.110.8%1st Place
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13.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.7%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida1.604.5%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Wisconsin0.702.6%1st Place
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7.66Jacksonville University-1.387.2%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 25.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% |
| Emily Allen | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.