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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75+0.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12-2.10vs Predicted
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7Babson College-1.34-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.47Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.57University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.81Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 26.3% | 25.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 30.4% | 26.0% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| James Altreuter | 19.3% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Waldo | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 25.3% | 31.9% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 32.7% | 4.1% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 1.2% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.