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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75+0.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-0.43vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34+0.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.67-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.48Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.94Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.57University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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6.87Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 25.5% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 31.0% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| James Altreuter | 19.8% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 34.2% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 4.2% | 93.3% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 30.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.