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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+8.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+2.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+6.39vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+3.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-1.75vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-0.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.65vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-2.21vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-3.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.96vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-3.76vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.11-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Stanford University3.3024.5%1st Place
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5.54Cornell University2.3812.2%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.4%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.048.2%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University0.932.1%1st Place
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8.14Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island0.992.9%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University1.976.9%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania1.726.9%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston1.452.9%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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10.08North Carolina State University1.263.3%1st Place
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11.79University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University0.952.6%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.1%1st Place
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13.24Christopher Newport University0.651.5%1st Place
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13.66University of Washington0.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.5% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.