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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.11-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.12-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.09-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Western Washington University-0.570.2%1st Place
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1.73University of Washington0.620.5%1st Place
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2.45University of Washington-0.110.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 15.2% | 20.7% | 29.6% | 23.4% | 11.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 50.7% | 30.9% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 24.2% | 30.1% | 25.5% | 17.0% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Kahle | 7.1% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 37.2% | 20.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.