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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+0.77vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.57+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.11-0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.12-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.09-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Washington0.620.5%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.42University of Washington-0.110.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 52.1% | 27.0% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 13.3% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 27.6% | 8.2% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 24.7% | 31.1% | 25.1% | 16.2% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 7.0% | 13.4% | 24.3% | 33.2% | 22.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.