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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-2.09+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.12-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.11-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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1.76University of Washington0.620.5%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.45University of Washington-0.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 14.8% | 23.0% | 27.1% | 24.7% | 10.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 20.3% | 65.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 50.2% | 30.2% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 8.8% | 11.0% | 25.5% | 34.9% | 19.8% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 23.2% | 32.0% | 25.3% | 15.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.