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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+7.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+6.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+4.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+3.19vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-2.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.12vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.60-3.83vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-1.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.05vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.11-3.08vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.65-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy2.047.5%1st Place
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3.38Stanford University3.3025.0%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.3812.2%1st Place
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11.37George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.9%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston1.453.4%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University-1.385.3%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.048.5%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.977.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida1.606.3%1st Place
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10.16North Carolina State University1.263.4%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.2%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University0.952.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Washington0.110.9%1st Place
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13.11Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.0% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 26.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.