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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+0.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.75-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-1.01vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.19Roger Williams University3.150.4%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.99University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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5.89Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 27.0% | 28.2% | 24.2% | 15.0% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 35.9% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 27.9% | 38.3% | 1.9% |
| James Altreuter | 22.3% | 23.8% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 26.0% | 41.5% | 3.9% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 93.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.