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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62-0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.93+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.12-1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.09-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Western Washington University-0.570.2%1st Place
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1.44University of Washington0.620.7%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington-2.930.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 19.4% | 37.3% | 27.8% | 12.5% | 3.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 66.0% | 25.3% | 7.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Willow Hoins | 1.3% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 66.6% |
| Sarah Kahle | 9.3% | 23.9% | 38.7% | 22.5% | 5.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.0% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 44.7% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.