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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+0.46vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.57+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.12-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.09-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.93-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46University of Washington0.620.7%1st Place
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2.38Western Washington University-0.570.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Washington-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 65.8% | 24.6% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 19.0% | 39.0% | 29.0% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Kahle | 11.0% | 23.0% | 36.0% | 25.2% | 4.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.9% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 42.3% | 27.1% |
| Willow Hoins | 1.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 19.5% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.