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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+0.47vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.57+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.93+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.09-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.12-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47University of Washington0.620.7%1st Place
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2.4Western Washington University-0.570.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Washington-2.930.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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2.87University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 65.9% | 23.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 18.0% | 39.0% | 29.3% | 12.1% | 1.6% |
| Willow Hoins | 1.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 20.9% | 65.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.1% | 8.5% | 18.8% | 42.6% | 27.0% |
| Sarah Kahle | 11.5% | 25.3% | 34.3% | 22.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.