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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.53vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.55vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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1.73Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.19University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.64California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.5% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 54.3% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.8% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.7% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 28.6% | 18.1% | 2.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 51.5% | 16.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 13.7% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.