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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.48vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.58vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.63California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 55.4% | 26.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.0% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.0% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 30.4% | 18.0% | 2.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 51.9% | 16.3% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 13.0% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.