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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.41vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+6.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+2.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+0.38vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+3.42vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.70+3.06vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-3.03vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-4.23vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-2.85vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.26-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-4.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.07vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Stanford University3.3028.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.3811.9%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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8.63Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.977.0%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University0.951.8%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin0.702.1%1st Place
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13.1Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
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7.97University of South Florida1.605.5%1st Place
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7.77Jacksonville University-1.385.7%1st Place
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10.15North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston1.264.4%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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11.42George Washington University0.932.2%1st Place
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13.22University of Washington-1.391.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.0% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 18.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Emily Smith | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.