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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75-0.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-1.00vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.18Roger Williams University3.150.4%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.85Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.0University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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5.88Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 26.3% | 28.6% | 24.3% | 15.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 37.5% | 26.7% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| James Altreuter | 22.3% | 26.1% | 24.4% | 21.0% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.2% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 24.9% | 39.3% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 26.7% | 41.7% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 93.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.