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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.42vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.86vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.61California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 55.9% | 25.5% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.5% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.0% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 48.9% | 16.6% |
| Florence Duff | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 29.4% | 20.6% | 2.9% |
| Julia Mast | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 14.0% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.