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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+5.63vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+3.66vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11+3.66vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.86-2.01vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.92vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.70-3.22vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18+2.27vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida0.67-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-5.64vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.81-5.21vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-1.23-0.26vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.01-4.29vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.96Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.66The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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4.44Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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10.15University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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9.92Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.78Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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13.27Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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9.79Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.74Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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12.71Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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16.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| matthew Monts | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 32.3% | 29.8% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 3.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 20.3% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.