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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+4.20vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.57vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.40vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+1.52vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-0.48vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.95vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11+0.58vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-0.75vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.81-1.86vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-5.59vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida0.67-4.72vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.01-3.31vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-1.23-1.21vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.57Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.4Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.52Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.95Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.58The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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11.29Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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8.01University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.25University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.14Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.05Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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12.69Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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15.79Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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16.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 17.5% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 5.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| KA Hamner | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 30.5% | 32.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 24.0% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.