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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+8.30vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.97vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.87vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida0.67+5.75vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+4.70vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.86-0.60vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.33vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70-2.15vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.02vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18+2.79vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-6.74vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-7.42vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.81-4.74vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.48-4.39vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.01-3.71vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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5.97North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.87Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.08Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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10.7University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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10.33Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.85Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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12.02Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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13.79Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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6.58Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.26Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.61Clemson University0.480.0%1st Place
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13.29Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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16.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| matthew Monts | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 12.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Mason Baird | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| KA Hamner | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 8.8% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.