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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+3.80vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.88vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+3.84vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+4.77vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+0.22vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+4.47vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.86-1.90vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.74-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida0.67+0.76vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.68vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.23+4.08vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.37-5.15vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-0.94vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.81-5.04vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.01-3.09vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.72-6.53vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.88North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.84Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.77The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.47Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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10.32Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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16.08Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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13.06Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.96Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.91Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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16.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 26.5% | 40.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 5.9% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 25.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.