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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+4.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+7.37vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+5.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+4.35vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.96vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-3.65vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-2.78vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-2.65vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.33-4.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-5.12vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Stanford University3.3028.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.047.2%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.976.5%1st Place
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11.37George Washington University0.932.4%1st Place
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10.2North Carolina State University1.262.9%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University-1.385.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University2.3812.9%1st Place
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13.19Christopher Newport University0.651.3%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston1.264.4%1st Place
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8.81Brown University1.335.4%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University0.951.9%1st Place
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7.87University of Pennsylvania1.725.8%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.2%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin0.702.3%1st Place
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13.11University of Washington-1.391.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.0% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 19.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.