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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.65+1.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+0.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-1.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.75-2.26vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.89University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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3.85Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.4Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.89Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 34.1% | 29.6% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 40.0% | 2.8% |
| Nick Waldo | 9.0% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 26.1% | 39.4% | 2.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 28.9% | 26.4% | 26.1% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| James Altreuter | 20.8% | 25.9% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 0.8% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 93.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.