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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+5.98vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.54vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+2.35vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida0.67+4.35vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.11+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72+2.07vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.95vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.06vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.51+3.30vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.86-5.70vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.58+1.27vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-0.91vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.77vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.13-7.31vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-0.70vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.70-11.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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4.54Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.7Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.72The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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10.07University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.95Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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10.06Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.3Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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14.27Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.09Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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8.69University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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16.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.34Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Teague | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 16.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 7.6% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 53.3% |
| matthew Monts | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.