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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.24+5.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+2.58vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97+0.15vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.24+0.33vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+2.96vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.28-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.73-1.70vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.26-1.11vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.67vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.07-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.95vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.77vs Predicted
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17Duke University-2.01-0.97vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.58University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.15Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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9.96The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.82Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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6.12University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.3University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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9.89Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.27Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.33Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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16.03Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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15.5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 18.8% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 23.8% | 40.1% |
| James Elder | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 27.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.