← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel0.20+9.13vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.46+3.80vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.97+1.27vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.28+2.14vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.12+1.73vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.51-0.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.24-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.48+0.84vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.73-0.92vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.07+0.58vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University0.26-1.13vs Predicted
-
12Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.65vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.53-0.76vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.93vs Predicted
-
15Jacksonville University1.24-8.77vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.74vs Predicted
-
17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.33vs Predicted
-
18Duke University-2.01-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.13The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.8North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.27Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
-
6.14University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
-
6.73Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
5.53University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.37University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.84Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
-
10.58Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.87Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.35Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.24Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.23Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
15.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
-
15.67Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
-
15.85Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 22.2% |
| James Elder | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 32.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 24.1% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.