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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+5.41vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+4.90vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.73+3.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+0.48vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24+0.32vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.24-1.76vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+1.34vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.23vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-0.95vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.48-2.76vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.26-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.92vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.64vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-1.71vs Predicted
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18Duke University-2.01-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.9Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.8North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.32Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.15Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.24University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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10.34Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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11.23Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.05The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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9.65Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.36Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.61Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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15.87Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 18.7% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Carter Morin | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 29.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 25.5% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.