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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+4.74vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+2.44vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.12+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.28+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73+1.93vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.24-1.90vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.48-0.28vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.26-0.23vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-1.13vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.07-1.51vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-2.07vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+0.26vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.01-0.37vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.53-4.73vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.18Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.54Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.06University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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7.93University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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7.45Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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8.72Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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9.77Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.87The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.49Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.71Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.26Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.63Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.27Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.1% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 23.3% | 27.9% | 14.8% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 32.9% | 19.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 7.1% | 19.5% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.