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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.24+4.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+3.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+1.47vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20+4.70vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+4.89vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48+0.69vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97-5.00vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.51-4.45vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.26-1.30vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.07-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.73-5.17vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.92vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.73vs Predicted
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17Duke University-2.01-1.31vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.75Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.7The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.89Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.69Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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4.0Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.7Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.48Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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11.88Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.27Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.69Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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16.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 19.8% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Erik Volk | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 29.4% | 14.7% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 21.2% | 32.6% | 20.9% |
| Christine Moore | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 20.9% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.