← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.46+4.78vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.97+2.18vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.24+3.41vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.12+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.85+2.57vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.51-0.56vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.48+1.88vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina1.28-1.96vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College0.07+1.25vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.20+0.08vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.26-2.06vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida0.73-5.12vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.95vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.74vs Predicted
-
16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.41vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-2.01-0.95vs Predicted
-
18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.78North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.18Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
-
6.41University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
6.54Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
7.57Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
5.44University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
8.88Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
6.04University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
-
10.25Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.08The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
11.03Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.94Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
-
12.05University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.26Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
15.59Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
-
16.05Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.9% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Erik Volk | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| James Elder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 24.5% | 30.3% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 41.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 25.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.