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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.24+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28+3.22vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.12+2.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.85+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51-0.61vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.48+1.84vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.73-1.06vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.05vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97-6.80vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.52+0.53vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.26-3.45vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.53-1.95vs Predicted
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15Duke University-2.01+1.02vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-4.90vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.35vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.53Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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8.84Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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10.24Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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10.05The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.2Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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12.53University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.55Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.05Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.02Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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11.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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15.65Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Erik Volk | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 19.5% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 39.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| James Elder | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 26.5% | 31.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.