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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.75+1.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+0.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+0.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.15-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-1.02vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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2.4Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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3.83Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.24Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.98University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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5.89Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 22.0% | 24.4% | 27.0% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Donahue | 29.3% | 27.9% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 28.0% | 38.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 33.7% | 27.9% | 23.1% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.6% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 25.7% | 41.0% | 3.9% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 93.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.