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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+6.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+8.85vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+6.51vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+2.83vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-2.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+4.79vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-2.62vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26+0.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.68vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.70-0.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.18vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-2.85vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-1.94vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.33-7.30vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-7.47vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.11-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Roger Williams University1.975.8%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Pennsylvania1.726.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
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3.31Stanford University3.3026.4%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University2.3813.0%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University1.263.8%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.047.8%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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11.87University of Wisconsin0.701.9%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.9%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University0.932.1%1st Place
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13.06Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University1.334.5%1st Place
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9.53College of Charleston1.263.4%1st Place
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13.91University of Washington0.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.4% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Bridget Green | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 19.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.